Well everyone, tonight is the night – it’s the night we all see if the balls fall in the Islanders favor or if the team’s pick will drop as low as the sixth overall.
The chance that the Islanders move up from the 5th selection is 8.1%, their best chance is to stay at number 5 which is what happened two years ago when they selected Bailey (the Islanders traded the 5th for the 7th and eventually the 9th to select Bailey). The worst case scenario tonight, is that their selection drops one slot to number 6 overall. Check out my post from last year with all the John Tavares craziness.
A bunch of crazy things have happened – here is a handy table with all the past lottery results (well for the first overall selection) since the inception of the lottery in 1995:
NHL DRAFT DRAWING HISTORY
|Year Selected||Effect On Draft Order||Player Selected|
|1995||Los Angeles Moved from 7th to 3rd||D Aki Berg|
|1996||Ottawa Retained 1st selection||D Chris Phillips|
|1997||Boston Retained 1st selection||C Joe Thornton|
|1998||Tampa Bay Moved from 3rd to 1st via trades||C Vincent Lecavalier|
|1999||Chicago Moved from 8th to 4th||RW Pavel Brendl *|
|2000||NY Islanders Moved from 5th to 1st||G Rick DiPietro|
|2001||Atlanta Moved from 3rd to 1st||LW Ilya Kovalchuk|
|2002||Florida Moved from 3rd to 1st||LW Rick Nash **|
|2003||Florida Moved from 4th to 1st||G Marc-Andre Fleury ***|
|2004||Washington Moved from 3rd to 1st||LW Alex Ovechkin|
|2005||Pittsburgh n/a (Lockout)||C Sidney Crosby|
|2006||St. Louis Retained 1st selection||D Erik Johnson|
|2007||Chicago Moved from 5th to 1st||RW Patrick Kane|
|2008||Tampa Bay Retained 1st selection||C Steven Stamkos|
|2009||NY Islanders Retained 1st selection||C John Tavares|
* NY Rangers obtained Chicago’s pick in a trade (via Vancouver and Tampa Bay). The Rangers
selected RW Pavel Brendl fourth overall.
** Columbus obtained Florida’s pick in a trade. The Blue Jackets selected LW Rick Nash first overall.
*** Pittsburgh obtained Florida’s pick in a trade. The Penguins selected G Marc-Andre Fleury
There is a lot more history on the past draft lotteries, head on over to the NHL’s site for all of that.
Here is what the New York Islanders have up on their page as well.
Once the lottery begins, I will put up another post with a live blog!